Nice 2-2 Bastia Prediction

NiceNice
2 — 2FT
BastiaBastia
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

NiceNicevsBastiaBastia

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Nice

Estimated win chances: Nice 54.4%, draw 22.5%, Bastia 23.1%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.88Expected goals1.15

From 6 and 6 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111%
  • 2–110.3%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–09%
  • 3–16.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

45MixedNice
Weighted momentum

Nice carries the sharper recent run (+24 momentum).

21Cold spellBastia
Bastia · High-risk / fragile

Nice

1W · 4D · 1L
Recent →DWDDDL
Momentum index

Bastia

2W · 0D · 4L
Recent →LLLLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapNice +1

Nice

7 pts
17% wins

1W · 4D · 1L · 6 played

For
8
Against
7
Goal diff +1

Bastia

6 pts
33% wins

2W · 0D · 4L · 6 played

For
7
Against
16
Goal diff -9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Nice offensive edge

    Nice's attack (67%) vs Bastia's defense (30%).

    +37
  • Bastia offensive edge

    Bastia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -37

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Nice67
Bastia33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Nice70
Bastia30

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Nice45
Bastia21

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Nice124
Bastia-24

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Nice30
Bastia56

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Nice70
Bastia30

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Nice0
Bastia0
BastiaHigh-risk / fragile