Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals1.23
From 36 and 36 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Nice 39.3%, draw 26.5%, Evian Tg 34.1%. From 36 and 36 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.34Expected goals1.23
From 36 and 36 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Evian Tg arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
9W · 11D · 16L · 36 played
13W · 10D · 13L · 36 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Nice faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-29Evian Tg's attack (83%) vs Nice's defense (54%).
+29Comparison indices from the match data partner.
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.