Nice 2-2 Lyon Prediction

NiceNice
2 — 2FT
LyonLyon
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

NiceNicevsLyonLyon

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Lyon

Estimated win chances: Nice 29.1%, draw 28.8%, Lyon 42.1%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

0.97Expected goals1.23

From 28 and 28 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 0–113.8%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–011.2%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 0–28.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

40MixedNice
Weighted momentum

Lyon arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).

64BuildingLyon
Nice · low scoringLyon · compact defense

Nice

8W · 10D · 10L
Recent →DWDWLLWLLDDDWDLLWLLWDLLWDDWD
Momentum index

Lyon

13W · 10D · 5L
Recent →DWWDWWDLWDDWWDWWDWDWWLLDLWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLyon +15

Nice

34 pts
29% wins

8W · 10D · 10L · 28 played

For
19
Against
28
Goal diff -9

Lyon

49 pts
46% wins

13W · 10D · 5L · 28 played

For
47
Against
26
Goal diff +21

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Nice offensive edge

    Nice faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -43
  • Lyon offensive edge

    Lyon's attack (76%) vs Nice's defense (33%).

    +43

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Nice24
Lyon76

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Nice33
Lyon67

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Nice40
Lyon64

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Nice-36
Lyon136

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Nice30
Lyon30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Nice42
Lyon58

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Nice0
Lyon100
Nicelow scoring
Lyoncompact defense