Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals0.89
From 24 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Nice 1-2 Montpellier Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Nice
Estimated win chances: Nice 47.5%, draw 27.8%, Montpellier 24.7%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedNice
Weighted momentum
Nice carries the sharper recent run (+17 momentum).
31Cold spellMontpellier
Nice · Structured / conservativeMontpellier · cold form
Nice
11W · 7D · 6LRecent →LDLLDWLWLWLWDWWWWDWWWDDD
Momentum index
Montpellier
5W · 9D · 10LRecent →DLWLLDLDWDLDLDLWLWDDLLWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNice +16
Nice
40 pts46% wins
11W · 7D · 6L · 24 played
For23
Against17
Montpellier
24 pts21% wins
5W · 9D · 10L · 24 played
For27
Against33
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Nice offensive edge
Nice faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-11 - Montpellier offensive edge
Montpellier's attack (73%) vs Nice's defense (63%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
NiceStructured / conservative
Montpelliercold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Nice33%
2Draws
2Montpellier33%