Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals1.42
From 32 and 32 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Nice 1-2 Paris Saint Germain Prediction
Balanced — model leans Paris Saint Germain
Estimated win chances: Nice 33.1%, draw 25.9%, Paris Saint Germain 41%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
53BuildingNice
Weighted momentum
Paris Saint Germain arrives with stronger form weighting (+18 momentum).
71Hot streakParis Saint Germain
Nice · compact defenseParis Saint Germain · hot form
Nice
15W · 9D · 8LRecent →WWDWDLWLLDLLDWLWLWLWDWWWWDWWWDDD
Momentum index
Paris Saint Germain
20W · 10D · 2LRecent →LDWWDWWDDDWWWDWWDWWWWWWWWDWLWWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapParis Saint Germain +16
Nice
54 pts47% wins
15W · 9D · 8L · 32 played
For37
Against25
Paris Saint Germain
70 pts63% wins
20W · 10D · 2L · 32 played
For77
Against32
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Nice offensive edge
Nice's attack (41%) vs Paris Saint Germain's defense (25%).
+16 - Paris Saint Germain offensive edge
Paris Saint Germain runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-16
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Nicecompact defense
Paris Saint Germainhot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Nice60%
0Draws
2Paris Saint Germain40%