Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.23
From 16 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Nice 43.2%, draw 25.5%, Rennes 31.3%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.49Expected goals1.23
From 16 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
5W · 8D · 3L · 16 played
8W · 2D · 6L · 16 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Nice's attack (41%) vs Rennes's defense (36%).
+5Rennes runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-5Comparison indices from the match data partner.