Nice 1-0 Rennes Prediction

NiceNice
1 — 0FT
RennesRennes

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Nice

Estimated win chances: Nice 43.2%, draw 25.5%, Rennes 31.3%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.49Expected goals1.23

From 16 and 16 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 1–27.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

55BuildingNice
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

61BuildingRennes

Nice

5W · 8D · 3L
Recent →DWWWDWLDLDDWDDDL
Momentum index

Rennes

8W · 2D · 6L
Recent →DWLWWWLWWWDLLWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapRennes +3

Nice

23 pts
31% wins

5W · 8D · 3L · 16 played

For
22
Against
21
Goal diff +1

Rennes

26 pts
50% wins

8W · 2D · 6L · 16 played

For
23
Against
21
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Nice offensive edge

    Nice's attack (41%) vs Rennes's defense (36%).

    +5
  • Rennes offensive edge

    Rennes runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Nice41
Rennes59

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Nice64
Rennes36

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Nice55
Rennes61

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Nice60
Rennes40

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Nice30
Rennes30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Nice52
Rennes48

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Nice29
Rennes71