Nice 1-1 Saint Etienne Prediction

NiceNice
1 — 1FT
Saint EtienneSaint Etienne

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Nice 35.3%, draw 25.7%, Saint Etienne 39%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.32Expected goals1.40

From 8 and 8 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–18.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

34Cold spellNice
Weighted momentum

Saint Etienne arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).

51MixedSaint Etienne
Nice · cold formSaint Etienne · compact defense

Nice

1W · 5D · 2L
Recent →LDDWDDDL
Momentum index

Saint Etienne

3W · 2D · 3L
Recent →WDDLWWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapSaint Etienne +3

Nice

8 pts
13% wins

1W · 5D · 2L · 8 played

For
11
Against
12
Goal diff -1

Saint Etienne

11 pts
38% wins

3W · 2D · 3L · 8 played

For
14
Against
6
Goal diff +8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Nice offensive edge

    Nice faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -29
  • Saint Etienne offensive edge

    Saint Etienne's attack (47%) vs Nice's defense (18%).

    +29

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Nice53
Saint Etienne47

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Nice18
Saint Etienne82

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Nice34
Saint Etienne51

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Nice-8
Saint Etienne108

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Nice30
Saint Etienne30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Nice43
Saint Etienne57

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Nice75
Saint Etienne25
Nicecold form
Saint Etiennecompact defense