Goal expectancy
1.64Expected goals1.16
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Nice
Estimated win chances: Nice 48.6%, draw 24.5%, Sochaux 27%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
35Cold spellNice
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
37Cold spellSochaux
Nice · low scoring · cold formSochaux · High-risk / fragile
Nice
2W · 4D · 5LRecent →LWDDLWLDDLL
Momentum index
Sochaux
3W · 4D · 4LRecent →DLWLLDDWWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSochaux +3
Nice
10 pts18% wins
2W · 4D · 5L · 11 played
For11
Against11
Sochaux
13 pts27% wins
3W · 4D · 4L · 11 played
For17
Against23
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Nice offensive edge
Nice's attack (46%) vs Sochaux's defense (26%).
+20 - Sochaux offensive edge
Sochaux runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Nicelow scoring · cold form
SochauxHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Nice100%
0Draws
0Sochaux0%