Nice 2-0 Toulouse Prediction

NiceNice
2 — 0FT
ToulouseToulouse
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

NiceNicevsToulouseToulouse

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Nice 34.5%, draw 28.1%, Toulouse 37.4%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.14Expected goals1.20

From 11 and 11 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–111.7%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 1–28%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

34Cold spellNice
Weighted momentum

Toulouse arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).

45MixedToulouse
Nice · low scoring · cold form

Nice

3W · 4D · 4L
Recent →LLWDLLWDDWD
Momentum index

Toulouse

5W · 3D · 3L
Recent →DWLLDDLWWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapToulouse +5

Nice

13 pts
27% wins

3W · 4D · 4L · 11 played

For
9
Against
14
Goal diff -5

Toulouse

18 pts
45% wins

5W · 3D · 3L · 11 played

For
14
Against
11
Goal diff +3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Nice offensive edge

    Nice faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -10
  • Toulouse offensive edge

    Toulouse's attack (67%) vs Nice's defense (57%).

    +10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Nice33
Toulouse67

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Nice57
Toulouse43

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Nice34
Toulouse45

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Nice30
Toulouse70

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Nice30
Toulouse30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Nice44
Toulouse56

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Nice0
Toulouse0
Nicelow scoring · cold form