Goal expectancy
0.90Expected goals1.22
From 19 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Berane
Estimated win chances: Nikšić 27.2%, draw 29.3%, Berane 43.5%. From 19 and 26 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
29Cold spellNikšić
Weighted momentum
Berane arrives with stronger form weighting (+36 momentum).
65BuildingBerane
Nikšić · low scoring · cold formBerane · compact defense
Nikšić
4W · 5D · 10LRecent →LLDWLLWDLDLLWDDLWLL
Momentum index
Berane
15W · 4D · 7LRecent →WWLLWDLWWDWWLWWWWWWWLDLWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Nikšić
17 pts21% wins
4W · 5D · 10L · 19 played
For16
Against31
Berane
49 pts58% wins
15W · 4D · 7L · 26 played
For29
Against15
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Nikšić offensive edge
Nikšić faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-19 - Berane offensive edge
Berane's attack (38%) vs Nikšić's defense (18%).
+20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Nikšićlow scoring · cold form
Beranecompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Nikšić50%
0Draws
1Berane50%