Niort 1-1 Monaco Prediction

NiortNiort
1 — 1FT
MonacoMonaco

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Niort 33.9%, draw 27.8%, Monaco 38.3%. From 11 and 12 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.14Expected goals1.23

From 11 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–111.7%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 1–28.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

36Cold spellNiort
Weighted momentum

Monaco arrives with stronger form weighting (+19 momentum).

55BuildingMonaco
Niort · Structured / conservativeMonaco · compact defense

Niort

2W · 6D · 3L
Recent →DLWDDLDLWDD
Momentum index

Monaco

6W · 4D · 2L
Recent →LWDDWDLWWWDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Niort

12 pts
18% wins

2W · 6D · 3L · 11 played

For
10
Against
10
Goal diff +0

Monaco

22 pts
50% wins

6W · 4D · 2L · 12 played

For
22
Against
11
Goal diff +11

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Niort offensive edge

    Niort faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -7
  • Monaco offensive edge

    Monaco's attack (57%) vs Niort's defense (50%).

    +7

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Niort43
Monaco57

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Niort50
Monaco50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Niort36
Monaco55

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Niort36
Monaco64

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Niort30
Monaco30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Niort43
Monaco57

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Niort0
Monaco100
NiortStructured / conservative
Monacocompact defense

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Niort0%
0Draws
1Monaco100%

Recent meetings