Goal expectancy
1.80Expected goals1.15
From 19 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Noja 3-0 Montañas Pas Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Noja
Estimated win chances: Noja 52.6%, draw 23.1%, Montañas Pas 24.3%. From 19 and 20 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
25Cold spellNoja
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
29Cold spellMontañas Pas
Noja · low scoring · cold formMontañas Pas · High-risk / fragile
Noja
3W · 5D · 11LRecent →LLDDLLWWLLLDWLLDDLL
Momentum index
Montañas Pas
3W · 4D · 13LRecent →WLWLDLWLLLDLDLLLDLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Noja
14 pts16% wins
3W · 5D · 11L · 19 played
For10
Against27
Montañas Pas
13 pts15% wins
3W · 4D · 13L · 20 played
For21
Against57
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Noja offensive edge
Noja faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-8 - Montañas Pas offensive edge
Montañas Pas's attack (70%) vs Noja's defense (63%).
+7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Nojalow scoring · cold form
Montañas PasHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Noja0%
1Draws
0Montañas Pas0%