Goal expectancy
1.72Expected goals1.39
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Norwich
Estimated win chances: Norwich 45.4%, draw 23.5%, Middlesbrough 31.2%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellNorwich
Weighted momentum
Middlesbrough arrives with stronger form weighting (+26 momentum).
64BuildingMiddlesbrough
Norwich · High-risk / fragile
Norwich
5W · 2D · 5LRecent →LDLWLLWLWWDW
Momentum index
Middlesbrough
5W · 2D · 5LRecent →WWWWWDLLLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Norwich
17 pts42% wins
5W · 2D · 5L · 12 played
For23
Against22
Middlesbrough
17 pts42% wins
5W · 2D · 5L · 12 played
For17
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Norwich offensive edge
Norwich faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-40 - Middlesbrough offensive edge
Middlesbrough's attack (60%) vs Norwich's defense (20%).
+40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
NorwichHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Norwich25%
1Draws
2Middlesbrough50%