Goal expectancy
1.78Expected goals1.40
From 16 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Nothomb-Post 1-2 Longlier Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Nothomb-post
Estimated win chances: Nothomb-post 46.6%, draw 23.1%, Longlier 30.4%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
66BuildingNothomb-post
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
59BuildingLonglier
Nothomb-post · hot form
Nothomb-post
9W · 3D · 4LRecent →WLWWWWLDDWWDWLLW
Momentum index
Longlier
8W · 3D · 5LRecent →DDWWWDLWLWWLWLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNothomb-post +3
Nothomb-post
30 pts56% wins
9W · 3D · 4L · 16 played
For36
Against22
Longlier
27 pts50% wins
8W · 3D · 5L · 16 played
For28
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Nothomb-post offensive edge
Nothomb-post faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-1 - Longlier offensive edge
Longlier's attack (41%) vs Nothomb-post's defense (40%).
+1
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Nothomb-posthot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Nothomb-post100%
0Draws
0Longlier0%