Goal expectancy
1.15Expected goals1.40
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Nova Mutum EC 2-1 Mixto Prediction
Balanced — model leans Mixto
Estimated win chances: Nova Mutum Ec 30.9%, draw 26.4%, Mixto 42.7%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedNova Mutum Ec
Weighted momentum
Mixto arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).
66BuildingMixto
Nova Mutum Ec · leaky defenseMixto · compact defense · hot form
Nova Mutum Ec
2W · 3D · 3LRecent →WLWLDDLD
Momentum index
Mixto
4W · 3D · 1LRecent →DWWDWDWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMixto +6
Nova Mutum Ec
9 pts25% wins
2W · 3D · 3L · 8 played
For11
Against14
Mixto
15 pts50% wins
4W · 3D · 1L · 8 played
For12
Against2
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Nova Mutum Ec offensive edge
Nova Mutum Ec faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-41 - Mixto offensive edge
Mixto's attack (50%) vs Nova Mutum Ec's defense (9%).
+41
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Nova Mutum Ecleaky defense
Mixtocompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Nova Mutum Ec50%
1Draws
1Mixto25%