Goal expectancy
1.28Expected goals1.05
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
NovaRomentin 0-2 Asti Prediction
Balanced — model leans Novaromentin
Estimated win chances: Novaromentin 41.7%, draw 27.9%, Asti 30.4%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
30Cold spellNovaromentin
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
27Cold spellAsti
Novaromentin · low scoring · cold formAsti · low scoring · cold form
Novaromentin
2W · 0D · 4LRecent →LLWLWL
Momentum index
Asti
1W · 3D · 2LRecent →LDDDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Novaromentin
6 pts33% wins
2W · 0D · 4L · 6 played
For6
Against8
Asti
6 pts17% wins
1W · 3D · 2L · 6 played
For4
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Novaromentin offensive edge
Novaromentin's attack (63%) vs Asti's defense (50%).
+13 - Asti offensive edge
Asti runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Novaromentinlow scoring · cold form
Astilow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Novaromentin50%
0Draws
1Asti50%