Numancia 1-3 Eibar Prediction

NumanciaNumancia
1 — 3FT
EibarEibar
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

NumanciaNumanciavsEibarEibar

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Numancia

Estimated win chances: Numancia 43.5%, draw 27.7%, Eibar 28.8%. From 4 and 5 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.32Expected goals1.02

From 4 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–012.9%
  • 0–110%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 2–18.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

44MixedNumancia
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

49MixedEibar
Numancia · compact defenseEibar · compact defense

Numancia

1W · 3D · 0L
Recent →DDDW
Momentum index

Eibar

2W · 2D · 1L
Recent →DDWLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Numancia

6 pts
25% wins

1W · 3D · 0L · 4 played

For
6
Against
2
Goal diff +4

Eibar

8 pts
40% wins

2W · 2D · 1L · 5 played

For
6
Against
3
Goal diff +3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Numancia offensive edge

    Numancia's attack (50%) vs Eibar's defense (40%).

    +10
  • Eibar offensive edge

    Eibar runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Numancia50
Eibar50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Numancia60
Eibar40

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Numancia44
Eibar49

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Numancia70
Eibar30

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Numancia30
Eibar30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Numancia43
Eibar57

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Numancia0
Eibar0
Numanciacompact defense
Eibarcompact defense