Goal expectancy
1.75Expected goals1.41
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Nyköping
Estimated win chances: Nyköping 45.7%, draw 23.2%, Smedby 31.1%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
74Hot streakNyköping
Weighted momentum
Nyköping carries the sharper recent run (+25 momentum).
49MixedSmedby
Nyköping · compact defense · hot form
Nyköping
8W · 1D · 2LRecent →LWWWDWWWWLW
Momentum index
Smedby
6W · 2D · 3LRecent →LDWDLLWWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNyköping +5
Nyköping
25 pts73% wins
8W · 1D · 2L · 11 played
For22
Against9
Smedby
20 pts55% wins
6W · 2D · 3L · 11 played
For27
Against15
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Nyköping offensive edge
Nyköping's attack (46%) vs Smedby's defense (40%).
+6 - Smedby offensive edge
Smedby runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Nyköpingcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Nyköping50%
1Draws
4Smedby40%