Goal expectancy
0.96Expected goals1.42
From 31 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Odesa 1-3 Sevastopol Prediction
Balanced — model leans Sevastopol
Estimated win chances: Odesa 25.5%, draw 26.9%, Sevastopol 47.7%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
22Cold spellOdesa
Weighted momentum
Sevastopol arrives with stronger form weighting (+59 momentum).
81Hot streakSevastopol
Odesa · low scoring · cold formSevastopol · compact defense · hot form
Odesa
6W · 9D · 16LRecent →LDLLLDLDLDDLLWLLLDLLLWWDWWWLDLD
Momentum index
Sevastopol
21W · 6D · 4LRecent →WWWWWWWWWWWLWDDLWWWDWWDLDDWWWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSevastopol +42
Odesa
27 pts19% wins
6W · 9D · 16L · 31 played
For30
Against45
Sevastopol
69 pts68% wins
21W · 6D · 4L · 31 played
For54
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Odesa offensive edge
Odesa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-64 - Sevastopol offensive edge
Sevastopol's attack (79%) vs Odesa's defense (15%).
+64
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Odesalow scoring · cold form
Sevastopolcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Odesa100%
0Draws
0Sevastopol0%