Goal expectancy
1.61Expected goals1.19
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Odesa 1-2 Stal Alchevsk Prediction
Balanced — model leans Odesa
Estimated win chances: Odesa 47.1%, draw 24.7%, Stal Alchevsk 28.2%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellOdesa
Weighted momentum
Stal Alchevsk arrives with stronger form weighting (+18 momentum).
56BuildingStal Alchevsk
Odesa · cold formStal Alchevsk · leaky defense
Odesa
6W · 4D · 8LRecent →WLLLDLLLWWDWWWLDLD
Momentum index
Stal Alchevsk
8W · 4D · 6LRecent →WLWDWWWWLLDLDLDLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapStal Alchevsk +6
Odesa
22 pts33% wins
6W · 4D · 8L · 18 played
For23
Against20
Stal Alchevsk
28 pts44% wins
8W · 4D · 6L · 18 played
For27
Against31
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Odesa offensive edge
Odesa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-33 - Stal Alchevsk offensive edge
Stal Alchevsk's attack (73%) vs Odesa's defense (40%).
+33
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Odesacold form
Stal Alchevskleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Odesa100%
0Draws
0Stal Alchevsk0%