Odesa 1-3 Sumy Prediction

OdesaOdesa
1 — 3FT
SumySumy

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Sumy

Estimated win chances: Odesa 30.2%, draw 28.6%, Sumy 41.2%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.01Expected goals1.23

From 19 and 19 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–113.3%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 1–28.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

17Cold spellOdesa
Weighted momentum

Sumy arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).

41MixedSumy
Odesa · High-risk / fragileSumy · low scoring

Odesa

3W · 2D · 14L
Recent →LLLLLLWLWLLLLWLDLDL
Momentum index

Sumy

6W · 6D · 7L
Recent →WLDDLWDDDLWLLWLWWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapSumy +13

Odesa

11 pts
16% wins

3W · 2D · 14L · 19 played

For
9
Against
38
Goal diff -29

Sumy

24 pts
32% wins

6W · 6D · 7L · 19 played

For
13
Against
20
Goal diff -7

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Odesa offensive edge

    Odesa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -77
  • Sumy offensive edge

    Sumy's attack (100%) vs Odesa's defense (23%).

    +77

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Odesa0
Sumy100

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Odesa23
Sumy77

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Odesa17
Sumy41

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Odesa-104
Sumy204

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Odesa41
Sumy30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Odesa0
Sumy100

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Odesa0
Sumy100
OdesaHigh-risk / fragile
Sumylow scoring

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Odesa100%
0Draws
0Sumy0%

Recent meetings