Odesa 1-3 Zirka Prediction

OdesaOdesa
1 — 3FT
ZirkaZirka

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Odesa

Estimated win chances: Odesa 44.4%, draw 26.2%, Zirka 29.4%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.44Expected goals1.12

From 22 and 22 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–08.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

32Cold spellOdesa
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

34Cold spellZirka
Odesa · cold formZirka · cold form

Odesa

6W · 6D · 10L
Recent →DDLLWLLLDLLLWWDWWWLDLD
Momentum index

Zirka

6W · 4D · 12L
Recent →WDWLLLDDLLWLLLWLLLWDWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapOdesa +2

Odesa

24 pts
27% wins

6W · 6D · 10L · 22 played

For
25
Against
24
Goal diff +1

Zirka

22 pts
27% wins

6W · 4D · 12L · 22 played

For
29
Against
34
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Odesa offensive edge

    Odesa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -10
  • Zirka offensive edge

    Zirka's attack (77%) vs Odesa's defense (67%).

    +10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Odesa23
Zirka77

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Odesa67
Zirka33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Odesa32
Zirka34

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Odesa30
Zirka70

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Odesa30
Zirka30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Odesa42
Zirka58

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Odesa100
Zirka0
Odesacold form
Zirkacold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Odesa0%
0Draws
1Zirka100%

Recent meetings