Goal expectancy
2.03Expected goals1.45
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Oks
Estimated win chances: Oks 51.1%, draw 21.5%, Varde 27.5%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
87Hot streakOks
Weighted momentum
Oks carries the sharper recent run (+31 momentum).
56BuildingVarde
Oks · hot form
Oks
9W · 1D · 2LRecent →WWWWWWWLWDWL
Momentum index
Varde
6W · 4D · 2LRecent →LDDWDWWWWLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapOks +6
Oks
28 pts75% wins
9W · 1D · 2L · 12 played
For32
Against15
Varde
22 pts50% wins
6W · 4D · 2L · 12 played
For25
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Oks offensive edge
Oks's attack (68%) vs Varde's defense (29%).
+39 - Varde offensive edge
Varde runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-39
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Okshot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Oks67%
1Draws
0Varde0%