Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals1.19
From 36 and 37 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Oldham 1-0 Bournemouth Prediction
Balanced — model leans Oldham
Estimated win chances: Oldham 40.2%, draw 26.7%, Bournemouth 33.1%. From 36 and 37 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
40MixedOldham
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
45MixedBournemouth
Oldham
12W · 9D · 15LRecent →WLLLLWDWLWDLDWLDLDWLDDWLWLLWWDDLWWLL
Momentum index
Bournemouth
13W · 9D · 15LRecent →WDLLLLLDWLWWDWWDLWDWWWDLDDDLWWLLLLLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Oldham
45 pts33% wins
12W · 9D · 15L · 36 played
For44
Against54
Bournemouth
48 pts35% wins
13W · 9D · 15L · 37 played
For40
Against44
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Oldham offensive edge
Oldham's attack (71%) vs Bournemouth's defense (57%).
+14 - Bournemouth offensive edge
Bournemouth runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Oldham0%
1Draws
0Bournemouth0%