Goal expectancy
1.24Expected goals1.15
From 37 and 38 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Oldham 3-0 Notts County Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Oldham 38.3%, draw 27.7%, Notts County 34%. From 37 and 38 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
60BuildingOldham
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
64BuildingNotts County
Oldham · compact defense
Oldham
15W · 13D · 9LRecent →WWWWDWWWDLLLWDWDWDLLWDWDLDLDWWWLDDLDD
Momentum index
Notts County
21W · 7D · 10LRecent →WWLWLWLDWWWWWWLDLDWWWLDWWDWWLWLWWDWLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Oldham
58 pts41% wins
15W · 13D · 9L · 37 played
For44
Against31
Notts County
70 pts55% wins
21W · 7D · 10L · 38 played
For65
Against39
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Oldham offensive edge
Oldham's attack (38%) vs Notts County's defense (13%).
+25 - Notts County offensive edge
Notts County runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-26
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Oldhamcompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Oldham56%
4Draws
0Notts County0%