Goal expectancy
1.39Expected goals1.19
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Olhanense
Estimated win chances: Olhanense 41.5%, draw 26.4%, Maritimo 32.1%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
26Cold spellOlhanense
Weighted momentum
Maritimo arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).
43MixedMaritimo
Olhanense · low scoring · cold form
Olhanense
5W · 9D · 15LRecent →LWLLLWLDLLLDDDLLWDLLWDDDLLLDW
Momentum index
Maritimo
9W · 10D · 10LRecent →WLLLDWDLDWWWLDWDDLWDDLLWLLDDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMaritimo +13
Olhanense
24 pts17% wins
5W · 9D · 15L · 29 played
For26
Against42
Maritimo
37 pts31% wins
9W · 10D · 10L · 29 played
For34
Against45
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Olhanense offensive edge
Olhanense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-19 - Maritimo offensive edge
Maritimo's attack (75%) vs Olhanense's defense (56%).
+19
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Olhanenselow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Olhanense60%
2Draws
0Maritimo0%