Goal expectancy
1.95Expected goals1.30
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Ols
Estimated win chances: Ols 52.6%, draw 22%, Tpv 25.4%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedOls
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
44MixedTpv
Tpv · leaky defense
Ols
7W · 5D · 5LRecent →WDLLDLWDLLDWWWDWW
Momentum index
Tpv
5W · 4D · 8LRecent →WLWWWLDDLLDLLLLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapOls +7
Ols
26 pts41% wins
7W · 5D · 5L · 17 played
For32
Against24
Tpv
19 pts29% wins
5W · 4D · 8L · 17 played
For25
Against32
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ols offensive edge
Ols faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14 - Tpv offensive edge
Tpv's attack (59%) vs Ols's defense (45%).
+14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Tpvleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Ols0%
2Draws
1Tpv33%