Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals1.42
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Olympic 40.2%, draw 24.5%, Ariana 35.3%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingOlympic
Weighted momentum
Olympic carries the sharper recent run (+17 momentum).
38Cold spellAriana
Ariana · cold form
Olympic
10W · 6D · 9LRecent →WWWDWLDWDDLWLWDLLWLLLWWDL
Momentum index
Ariana
9W · 5D · 11LRecent →WLLDLLWLDWLLWWDLLLDWDWWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapOlympic +4
Olympic
36 pts40% wins
10W · 6D · 9L · 25 played
For34
Against35
Ariana
32 pts36% wins
9W · 5D · 11L · 25 played
For44
Against36
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Olympic offensive edge
Olympic's attack (78%) vs Ariana's defense (40%).
+38 - Ariana offensive edge
Ariana runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-38
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Arianacold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Olympic33%
1Draws
1Ariana33%