Goal expectancy
1.28Expected goals1.09
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Oriental Lisboa 0-0 Moncarapachense Prediction
Balanced — model leans Oriental Lisboa
Estimated win chances: Oriental Lisboa 40.8%, draw 27.7%, Moncarapachense 31.5%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedOriental Lisboa
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
35Cold spellMoncarapachense
Moncarapachense · Structured / conservative
Oriental Lisboa
5W · 4D · 5LRecent →DWLLLWLDWWLDDW
Momentum index
Moncarapachense
3W · 6D · 5LRecent →WLLDDLLWDDDWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapOriental Lisboa +4
Oriental Lisboa
19 pts36% wins
5W · 4D · 5L · 14 played
For18
Against22
Moncarapachense
15 pts21% wins
3W · 6D · 5L · 14 played
For10
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Oriental Lisboa offensive edge
Oriental Lisboa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-8 - Moncarapachense offensive edge
Moncarapachense's attack (30%) vs Oriental Lisboa's defense (22%).
+8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
MoncarapachenseStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Oriental Lisboa33%
2Draws
0Moncarapachense0%