Goal expectancy
1.22Expected goals1.04
From 22 and 22 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Orsomarso
Estimated win chances: Orsomarso 40.2%, draw 28.5%, Popayan 31.3%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellOrsomarso
Weighted momentum
Orsomarso carries the sharper recent run (+16 momentum).
17Cold spellPopayan
Orsomarso · low scoring · cold formPopayan · low scoring · cold form
Orsomarso
7W · 2D · 13LRecent →LWLLWLLLWLLWLDLDWWLLWL
Momentum index
Popayan
2W · 9D · 11LRecent →DLDLLDLDLLLDLLDLDLDWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapOrsomarso +8
Orsomarso
23 pts32% wins
7W · 2D · 13L · 22 played
For17
Against30
Popayan
15 pts9% wins
2W · 9D · 11L · 22 played
For18
Against29
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Orsomarso offensive edge
Orsomarso's attack (67%) vs Popayan's defense (62%).
+5 - Popayan offensive edge
Popayan runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Orsomarsolow scoring · cold form
Popayanlow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Orsomarso75%
1Draws
0Popayan0%