Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.30
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Ortmann 39.4%, draw 25.8%, Ardagger 34.8%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
24Cold spellOrtmann
Weighted momentum
Ardagger arrives with stronger form weighting (+14 momentum).
38Cold spellArdagger
Ortmann · High-risk / fragileArdagger · cold form
Ortmann
2W · 5D · 11LRecent →LDLWLDWLLDLDLLLLDL
Momentum index
Ardagger
5W · 3D · 10LRecent →WDWLWLLLLLWLLLWDDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapArdagger +7
Ortmann
11 pts11% wins
2W · 5D · 11L · 18 played
For17
Against33
Ardagger
18 pts28% wins
5W · 3D · 10L · 18 played
For19
Against29
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ortmann offensive edge
Ortmann faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-27 - Ardagger offensive edge
Ardagger's attack (60%) vs Ortmann's defense (33%).
+27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
OrtmannHigh-risk / fragile
Ardaggercold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Ortmann33%
4Draws
0Ardagger0%