Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.42
From 28 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Ortmann 39.2%, draw 24.7%, Ybbs 36.1%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
28Cold spellOrtmann
Weighted momentum
Ybbs arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).
39Cold spellYbbs
Ortmann · cold formYbbs · cold form
Ortmann
7W · 10D · 11LRecent →LDDDLDLDLDLLDWLWDLLLWDDWWWWL
Momentum index
Ybbs
11W · 8D · 9LRecent →DDLLLDDWLLDDWDWWLDWWLWLWLWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapYbbs +10
Ortmann
31 pts25% wins
7W · 10D · 11L · 28 played
For36
Against44
Ybbs
41 pts39% wins
11W · 8D · 9L · 28 played
For45
Against39
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ortmann offensive edge
Ortmann faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12 - Ybbs offensive edge
Ybbs's attack (60%) vs Ortmann's defense (48%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ortmanncold form
Ybbscold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Ortmann67%
0Draws
1Ybbs33%