Goal expectancy
1.57Expected goals1.33
From 15 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Österlen 4-1 Sölvesborg Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Österlen
Estimated win chances: Österlen 43.1%, draw 24.6%, Sölvesborg 32.4%. From 15 and 14 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
53BuildingÖsterlen
Weighted momentum
Österlen carries the sharper recent run (+12 momentum).
41MixedSölvesborg
Österlen
6W · 3D · 6LRecent →WLWWDWLDLDWLLWL
Momentum index
Sölvesborg
5W · 1D · 8LRecent →WDWLLWLLLLLWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Österlen
21 pts40% wins
6W · 3D · 6L · 15 played
For20
Against21
Sölvesborg
16 pts36% wins
5W · 1D · 8L · 14 played
For22
Against23
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Österlen offensive edge
Österlen's attack (53%) vs Sölvesborg's defense (50%).
+3 - Sölvesborg offensive edge
Sölvesborg runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Österlen60%
1Draws
1Sölvesborg20%