Goal expectancy
1.29Expected goals1.16
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Palermo
Estimated win chances: Palermo 39.5%, draw 27.3%, Chievo 33.2%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
7Cold spellPalermo
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
12Cold spellChievo
Palermo · High-risk / fragileChievo · High-risk / fragile
Palermo
0W · 1D · 4LRecent →LLDLL
Momentum index
Chievo
1W · 0D · 4LRecent →LLLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapChievo +2
Palermo
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 4L · 5 played
For1
Against9
Chievo
3 pts20% wins
1W · 0D · 4L · 5 played
For3
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Palermo offensive edge
Palermo faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-25 - Chievo offensive edge
Chievo's attack (75%) vs Palermo's defense (50%).
+25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
PalermoHigh-risk / fragile
ChievoHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Palermo50%
1Draws
0Chievo0%