Goal expectancy
1.29Expected goals1.31
From 33 and 33 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Palermo 36.3%, draw 26.4%, Inter 37.3%. From 33 and 33 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
32Cold spellPalermo
Weighted momentum
Inter arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).
47MixedInter
Palermo · low scoring · cold form
Palermo
5W · 14D · 14LRecent →DDWWLLDDDDLDDLLLDLLWLWLDDDDWLLDLL
Momentum index
Inter
16W · 5D · 12LRecent →WLLWLLWDLWLDDWLDLWWLDLWWWWWWWLWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapInter +24
Palermo
29 pts15% wins
5W · 14D · 14L · 33 played
For30
Against46
Inter
53 pts48% wins
16W · 5D · 12L · 33 played
For51
Against45
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Palermo offensive edge
Palermo's attack (50%) vs Inter's defense (38%).
+12 - Inter offensive edge
Inter runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Palermolow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Palermo67%
1Draws
0Inter0%