Goal expectancy
1.58Expected goals1.11
From 34 and 34 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Palermo
Estimated win chances: Palermo 48.2%, draw 25%, Sudtirol 26.7%. From 34 and 34 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
50MixedPalermo
Weighted momentum
Palermo carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).
39Cold spellSudtirol
Sudtirol · cold form
Palermo
13W · 9D · 12LRecent →WLWWLDWWDDLLWWLWLLLWDDLDWDLWDWDWLL
Momentum index
Sudtirol
10W · 8D · 16LRecent →WLDLDWDDWLWWLDDLWDLLLLLDLLWLLWLLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPalermo +10
Palermo
48 pts38% wins
13W · 9D · 12L · 34 played
For47
Against38
Sudtirol
38 pts29% wins
10W · 8D · 16L · 34 played
For43
Against52
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Palermo offensive edge
Palermo's attack (68%) vs Sudtirol's defense (59%).
+9 - Sudtirol offensive edge
Sudtirol runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sudtirolcold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Palermo20%
1Draws
3Sudtirol60%