Palmeiras 2-3 Fluminense Prediction

PalmeirasPalmeiras
2 — 3FT
FluminenseFluminense
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

PalmeirasPalmeirasvsFluminenseFluminense

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Fluminense

Estimated win chances: Palmeiras 29.8%, draw 27.6%, Fluminense 42.5%. From 34 and 34 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.05Expected goals1.31

From 34 and 34 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–112.6%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 1–28.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

36Cold spellPalmeiras
Weighted momentum

Fluminense arrives with stronger form weighting (+35 momentum).

71Hot streakFluminense
Palmeiras · low scoring · cold formFluminense · compact defense · hot form

Palmeiras

9W · 6D · 19L
Recent →DLWWLLLWWLLLWDLLLWLWLLLWDDLWLDLLLD
Momentum index

Fluminense

21W · 10D · 3L
Recent →DWLDWWWWWLWWWDDWWDWWWDLWWDWWWWDDDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapFluminense +40

Palmeiras

33 pts
26% wins

9W · 6D · 19L · 34 played

For
34
Against
45
Goal diff -11

Fluminense

73 pts
62% wins

21W · 10D · 3L · 34 played

For
56
Against
26
Goal diff +30

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Palmeiras offensive edge

    Palmeiras's attack (40%) vs Fluminense's defense (38%).

    +2
  • Fluminense offensive edge

    Fluminense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -2

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Palmeiras40
Fluminense60

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Palmeiras62
Fluminense38

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Palmeiras36
Fluminense71

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Palmeiras54
Fluminense46

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Palmeiras30
Fluminense30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Palmeiras47
Fluminense53

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Palmeiras7
Fluminense93
Palmeiraslow scoring · cold form
Fluminensecompact defense · hot form