Parma 2-2 Cesena Prediction

ParmaParma
2 — 2FT
CesenaCesena
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

ParmaParmavsCesenaCesena

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Parma

Estimated win chances: Parma 43.4%, draw 28%, Cesena 28.6%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.30Expected goals1.00

From 25 and 25 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.2%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 2–08.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

33Cold spellParma
Weighted momentum

Parma carries the sharper recent run (+9 momentum).

24Cold spellCesena
Parma · low scoring · cold formCesena · low scoring · cold form

Parma

6W · 8D · 11L
Recent →LDLLWLLWDLWLDWWLDDDLLDDLW
Momentum index

Cesena

5W · 6D · 14L
Recent →LLDDLLLDWWLDLLWLLLDLLLWWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapParma +5

Parma

26 pts
24% wins

6W · 8D · 11L · 25 played

For
23
Against
34
Goal diff -11

Cesena

21 pts
20% wins

5W · 6D · 14L · 25 played

For
17
Against
34
Goal diff -17

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Parma offensive edge

    Parma's attack (67%) vs Cesena's defense (50%).

    +17
  • Cesena offensive edge

    Cesena runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Parma67
Cesena33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Parma50
Cesena50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Parma33
Cesena24

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Parma84
Cesena16

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Parma30
Cesena30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Parma67
Cesena33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Parma50
Cesena50
Parmalow scoring · cold form
Cesenalow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Parma0%
1Draws
0Cesena0%

Recent meetings

Cesena
1 – 1FT
Parma

Serie ARound 7