Parma 3-1 Lazio Prediction

ParmaParma
3 — 1FT
LazioLazio
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

ParmaParmavsLazioLazio

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Parma 36.2%, draw 25.7%, Lazio 38.1%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.34Expected goals1.38

From 29 and 29 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–18.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

34Cold spellParma
Weighted momentum

Lazio arrives with stronger form weighting (+23 momentum).

57BuildingLazio
Parma · cold form

Parma

7W · 11D · 11L
Recent →DLDDLDLDWDDWLDDDDLWLWLLWWLLWL
Momentum index

Lazio

15W · 6D · 8L
Recent →WLLWWLWLWWLWLDDWWLDWWDWWWDWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLazio +19

Parma

32 pts
24% wins

7W · 11D · 11L · 29 played

For
35
Against
46
Goal diff -11

Lazio

51 pts
52% wins

15W · 6D · 8L · 29 played

For
43
Against
34
Goal diff +9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Parma offensive edge

    Parma faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -9
  • Lazio offensive edge

    Lazio's attack (45%) vs Parma's defense (36%).

    +9

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Parma55
Lazio45

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Parma36
Lazio64

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Parma34
Lazio57

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Parma32
Lazio68

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Parma32
Lazio30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Parma25
Lazio75

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Parma13
Lazio88
Parmacold form