Goal expectancy
1.45Expected goals1.32
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Parma 40.3%, draw 25.4%, Palermo 34.4%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.45Expected goals1.32
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Palermo arrives with stronger form weighting (+10 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
5W · 0D · 7L · 12 played
6W · 1D · 5L · 12 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Parma faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12Palermo's attack (54%) vs Parma's defense (42%).
+12Comparison indices from the match data partner.