Partick 5-1 Dunfermline Prediction

PartickPartick
5 — 1FT
DunfermlineDunfermline
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

PartickPartickvsDunfermlineDunfermline

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Partick

Estimated win chances: Partick 43.5%, draw 24.1%, Dunfermline 32.5%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.63Expected goals1.38

From 10 and 10 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 1–28%
  • 0–17.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

68Hot streakPartick
Weighted momentum

Dunfermline arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).

76Hot streakDunfermline
Partick · compact defense · hot formDunfermline · compact defense · hot form

Partick

7W · 2D · 1L
Recent →DWLDWWWWWW
Momentum index

Dunfermline

7W · 2D · 1L
Recent →WDDWWWWWLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Partick

23 pts
70% wins

7W · 2D · 1L · 10 played

For
24
Against
7
Goal diff +17

Dunfermline

23 pts
70% wins

7W · 2D · 1L · 10 played

For
25
Against
7
Goal diff +18

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Partick offensive edge

    Partick faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -12
  • Dunfermline offensive edge

    Dunfermline's attack (56%) vs Partick's defense (44%).

    +12

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Partick44
Dunfermline56

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Partick44
Dunfermline56

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Partick68
Dunfermline76

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Partick26
Dunfermline74

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Partick30
Dunfermline30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Partick42
Dunfermline58

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Partick62
Dunfermline38
Partickcompact defense · hot form
Dunfermlinecompact defense · hot form