Goal expectancy
1.19Expected goals1.05
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Pdhae
Estimated win chances: Pdhae 39.1%, draw 28.7%, Chieri 32.1%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
30Cold spellPdhae
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
29Cold spellChieri
Pdhae · low scoring · cold formChieri · low scoring · cold form
Pdhae
3W · 4D · 10LRecent →WLDDLLLWLWLDLLDLL
Momentum index
Chieri
3W · 6D · 8LRecent →DLLDLDWWLLDLLWDDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapChieri +2
Pdhae
13 pts18% wins
3W · 4D · 10L · 17 played
For11
Against25
Chieri
15 pts18% wins
3W · 6D · 8L · 17 played
For12
Against23
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Pdhae offensive edge
Pdhae's attack (80%) vs Chieri's defense (60%).
+20 - Chieri offensive edge
Chieri runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Pdhaelow scoring · cold form
Chierilow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Pdhae25%
1Draws
2Chieri50%