Goal expectancy
1.13Expected goals0.83
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Penedense
Estimated win chances: Penedense 42.5%, draw 30.7%, Coruripe 26.7%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
65BuildingPenedense
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
69Hot streakCoruripe
Penedense · Structured / conservativeCoruripe · compact defense · hot form
Penedense
4W · 3D · 0LRecent →DWDDWWW
Momentum index
Coruripe
4W · 2D · 1LRecent →DWWDWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPenedense +1
Penedense
15 pts57% wins
4W · 3D · 0L · 7 played
For7
Against1
Coruripe
14 pts57% wins
4W · 2D · 1L · 7 played
For8
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Penedense offensive edge
Penedense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Coruripe offensive edge
Coruripe's attack (60%) vs Penedense's defense (50%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
PenedenseStructured / conservative
Coruripecompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Penedense0%
2Draws
0Coruripe0%