Goal expectancy
1.20Expected goals1.14
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Penedense 37.4%, draw 28.1%, Csa 34.5%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
65BuildingPenedense
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
65BuildingCsa
Penedense · Structured / conservativeCsa · compact defense
Penedense
5W · 4D · 0LRecent →DWDWDDWWW
Momentum index
Csa
5W · 2D · 2LRecent →DWDWWWLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPenedense +2
Penedense
19 pts56% wins
5W · 4D · 0L · 9 played
For9
Against2
Csa
17 pts56% wins
5W · 2D · 2L · 9 played
For20
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Penedense offensive edge
Penedense's attack (29%) vs Csa's defense (20%).
+9 - Csa offensive edge
Csa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
PenedenseStructured / conservative
Csacompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Penedense33%
2Draws
0Csa0%