Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals1.06
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Penedense
Estimated win chances: Penedense 40.9%, draw 28%, Cse 31.1%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
25Cold spellPenedense
Weighted momentum
Penedense carries the sharper recent run (+14 momentum).
11Cold spellCse
Penedense · low scoring · cold formCse · low scoring · cold form
Penedense
1W · 0D · 2LRecent →LLW
Momentum index
Cse
0W · 1D · 2LRecent →LDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPenedense +2
Penedense
3 pts33% wins
1W · 0D · 2L · 3 played
For1
Against3
Cse
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 2L · 3 played
For2
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Penedense offensive edge
Penedense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Cse offensive edge
Cse's attack (67%) vs Penedense's defense (57%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Penedenselow scoring · cold form
Cselow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Penedense20%
3Draws
1Cse20%