Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals1.11
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Peralada 3-0 Atlètic Lleida Prediction
Balanced — model leans Peralada
Estimated win chances: Peralada 42%, draw 27.1%, Atlètic Lleida 30.9%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
22Cold spellPeralada
Weighted momentum
Atlètic Lleida arrives with stronger form weighting (+28 momentum).
50MixedAtlètic Lleida
Peralada · low scoring · cold formAtlètic Lleida · low scoring
Peralada
0W · 2D · 1LRecent →DLD
Momentum index
Atlètic Lleida
1W · 1D · 1LRecent →WLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAtlètic Lleida +2
Peralada
2 pts0% wins
0W · 2D · 1L · 3 played
For2
Against3
Atlètic Lleida
4 pts33% wins
1W · 1D · 1L · 3 played
For3
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Peralada offensive edge
Peralada faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-3 - Atlètic Lleida offensive edge
Atlètic Lleida's attack (60%) vs Peralada's defense (57%).
+3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Peraladalow scoring · cold form
Atlètic Lleidalow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Peralada0%
1Draws
1Atlètic Lleida50%