Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals0.96
From 28 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Peralada
Estimated win chances: Peralada 45.7%, draw 27.6%, Grama 26.6%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedPeralada
Weighted momentum
Peralada carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).
38Cold spellGrama
Peralada · Structured / conservativeGrama · cold form
Peralada
11W · 7D · 10LRecent →WLWLDDWDWLLLLWWDLWWDWLWDDWLL
Momentum index
Grama
10W · 4D · 14LRecent →WDLLWLLLLLWDLLWWWLWWDLLWDLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPeralada +6
Peralada
40 pts39% wins
11W · 7D · 10L · 28 played
For29
Against25
Grama
34 pts36% wins
10W · 4D · 14L · 28 played
For31
Against39
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Peralada offensive edge
Peralada faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Grama offensive edge
Grama's attack (67%) vs Peralada's defense (57%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
PeraladaStructured / conservative
Gramacold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Peralada80%
1Draws
0Grama0%