Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals0.91
From 31 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Peralada
Estimated win chances: Peralada 46.7%, draw 27.9%, Manresa 25.4%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
56BuildingPeralada
Weighted momentum
Peralada carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).
36Cold spellManresa
Peralada · compact defenseManresa · low scoring · cold form
Peralada
12W · 13D · 6LRecent →WWDDLDWDWWLDWDWDDWWLDLWLWDLWDDD
Momentum index
Manresa
11W · 10D · 10LRecent →WLLLDLDDDLDDWDLLDLWWWLWLWWDWDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPeralada +6
Peralada
49 pts39% wins
12W · 13D · 6L · 31 played
For36
Against27
Manresa
43 pts35% wins
11W · 10D · 10L · 31 played
For30
Against38
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Peralada offensive edge
Peralada's attack (69%) vs Manresa's defense (36%).
+33 - Manresa offensive edge
Manresa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-33
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Peraladacompact defense
Manresalow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Peralada25%
2Draws
1Manresa25%