Goal expectancy
1.27Expected goals0.83
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Peralada
Estimated win chances: Peralada 46.7%, draw 29%, Rapitenca 24.3%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
41MixedPeralada
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
37Cold spellRapitenca
Peralada · Structured / conservativeRapitenca · low scoring · cold form
Peralada
7W · 4D · 8LRecent →LLLLWWDLWWDWLWDDWLL
Momentum index
Rapitenca
5W · 2D · 12LRecent →WLLWLWDLLWLDWLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPeralada +8
Peralada
25 pts37% wins
7W · 4D · 8L · 19 played
For19
Against17
Rapitenca
17 pts26% wins
5W · 2D · 12L · 19 played
For14
Against23
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Peralada offensive edge
Peralada faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - Rapitenca offensive edge
Rapitenca's attack (57%) vs Peralada's defense (42%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
PeraladaStructured / conservative
Rapitencalow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Peralada67%
0Draws
1Rapitenca33%