Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals1.08
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Peralada
Estimated win chances: Peralada 40.4%, draw 27.9%, Tona 31.6%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedPeralada
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
45MixedTona
Peralada · Structured / conservative
Peralada
8W · 5D · 8LRecent →DWLLLLWWDLWWDWLWDDWLL
Momentum index
Tona
9W · 6D · 6LRecent →LDDLDWWDLWLLWWWDDLWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTona +4
Peralada
29 pts38% wins
8W · 5D · 8L · 21 played
For21
Against18
Tona
33 pts43% wins
9W · 6D · 6L · 21 played
For30
Against25
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Peralada offensive edge
Peralada faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-6 - Tona offensive edge
Tona's attack (60%) vs Peralada's defense (54%).
+6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
PeraladaStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Peralada33%
1Draws
1Tona33%